It's All Greek.........Omega Anyone?

Posted by Drew Michaels at 8:25 PM
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PLANET C


First things first… how can we get there? Traveling at the speed of light or approximately 670616629.384 miles per hour, it will take us twenty and a half years en route, though Einstein proposed that anything having mass was incapable of traveling that fast… back to the drawing board. Even at a speed close to that of light, we’ve got some time on our hands. Checkers anyone? How about some sort of cosmic slingshot? There’s a saying that “laws are made to be broken”. Perhaps, like many discoveries, the mysteries of bending time and space will be un-locked while someone is trying to figure out something else totally unrelated. For now we'll assume that the getting there part isn't a big deal.
So, what would it be like? Temperatures are estimated to be in the range of 32 to 104 F and theoretically the planet has water. It sounds good so far. Planet C takes about two weeks to orbit the red dwarf and it may not be spinning on its axis. Well, one week of daytime and one week of night! Just think, your long day at work will be rewarded by a week of sleeping… again, doesn’t sound too shabby. I don’t suppose many Earth employers now would buy an “I was so tired and overworked that I had to sleep like I was on Planet C”, excuse. Oh well. Here’s another thought, celebrating your birthday might become passé, at one every fourteen days they would be coming quick. You might run out of gift ideas, and after awhile they would probably make a law against singing “Happy Birthday”. There’s a law that might not be broken, at least on Planet C. What is your age on Planet C? To find out, multiply your present age by 26 and there you go. I’d be over 1000!
Swiss scientist Michel Mayor, who heads up the European team that announced the discovery of Planet C, believes that top researchers are less than two decades away from being able to detect real signs of life in the solar system of Gliese 581. Perhaps, somewhere in time and space, someone else has figured out how to sling shot through the cosmos and is now finishing up a last game of checkers!
Posted by Ted Zarras at 4:59 PM
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LITTER PREVENTION AND CONTROL
Facts about Littering
Arkansas has 100,000 acres of public roadside along its 16,367-mile state highway system, 9,700 miles of streams, and 600,000 acres of lakes … and, unfortunately, litter can be found along all of them!
It costs Arkansas more than $2 million annually to clean up along the highways, and $5 million in total cleanup costs. And even though littering is illegal in Arkansas - punishable by a fine and community service - litter continues to be a problem.
Common Forms of Litter in Arkansas:
Cigarette Filters
Plastic Foam
Food Wrappers and Containers
Paper
Glass
Plastic
Aluminum
Littering Effects - Litter Impacts Economic Development
Litter isn't just an environmental issue. It's also an economic development issue. When prospective businesses tour a community, they're looking for a dynamic, growing community where their businesses can grow. When communities have a lot of litter, it simply shows that the people living there don't care about their town's future. If they don't, new businesses won't, either.
This can hurt the economic development of a community. The absence of litter in a community reflects the pride that it shows and really does make a difference. Find out more about littering effects and how you can help clean up your community.
Facts About Littering - How Litter Happens
It Gets Blown
Litter can blow out of a truck bed without the driver knowing.
Avoid putting anything in a truck bed that might blow out on the road.
Cover all loads to avoid items blowing out.
It Gets Thrown
Litter shouldn't be thrown from a vehicle.
Avoid throwing litter out of car windows by keeping a litterbag in the car at all times. Request your free litterbag today!
It Gets Dumped
It is illegal to continue dumping your trash at the site where a dumpster once was.
These illegal dumping sites can poison groundwater and kill local wildlife.
Don't create illegal dumping sites.
Reducing Litter
Reducing litter may be easier than you think! Here are three easy ways to reduce the amount of litter in your community:
Don't Litter! It's illegal.
Report Littering.
Pick up Litter.
Additional Resources
Orang-U-Tongs
EZ Reacher
Looking for facts about recycling? Find out how Arkansas recycling can improve the success of the communities and businesses throughout the Natural State. Start recycling in Arkansas today!
Posted by Ted Zarras at 9:10 PM
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Helping the Environment by Planting a Tree
My goal is to help people realize that they really can make a difference by just simply changing some of their daily habits!
Trees make up an urban forest which works to:
1. Help reduce pollution in our air and water
2. Conserve utility costs and cool city streets
3. Reduce crime
4. Reduce asthma and improve our overall health and quality of life
5. Increase residential and commercial property values
Here are some very interesting statistics...
Around 500 full sized trees are needed to absorb the carbon dioxide produced by a typical car driven 20,000 miles per year.
One large tree can provide a day's worth of oxygen for up to 4 people.
One large tree can lift up to 100 gallons of water out of the ground and discharge it into the air in one day.
Researchers estimate that an urban tree can save 5 to 10 times more overall carbon dioxide than a rural tree.
If you have the opportunity, please plant a tree and help create a natural habitat in your own yard. Whether you live in the country, or the city, we can all do our part to help the environment.
Posted by Drew Michaels at 8:18 PM
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The Front is Coming Through.....
As the sun goes down, these storms will quickly fall apart. A cold front will continue to sweep across eastern Oklahoma through 6 p.m. A few storms will remain possible along and north of I-40. through 7 p.m. No more severe weather is anticipated.
Posted by Drew Michaels at 3:32 PM
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1:45 PM UPDATE
We'll be updating the blog throughout the afternoon and making cut-ins on-air as deemed necessary. Keep it tuned to 40/29... we've got you covered on-air and on the web!
Posted by Ted Zarras at 11:44 AM
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12:30 PM UPDATE
Northern counties; Delaware, Cherokee, and Adair in OK, along with Washington, Benton, Carroll, and Madison in AR, are now breaking out in sunshine. Cumulus clouds are beginning to pop as well. With the cold front still lagging back to our west the potential for thunderstorms, some of which may produce large hail, still exists. The wet bulb zero temperature is roughly at 8000 to 8500 feet. This is low and will certainly support large hail growth.
Individual thunderstorms are starting to pop between I-35 and I-44 in northern OK. The atmosphere has been capped this morning and into the early afternoon, though now this is starting to break. RUC analysis has a bull’s eye of 500-1000 J/kg of CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) over NW AR and NE OK. We are watching this area closely as a hot spot for thunderstorm development. The best window for storm development, coinciding well with sun breaks and peak heating. is now through the late afternoon as the cold front finally pushes through.
Posted by Ted Zarras at 10:37 AM
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RAIN REPORTS... so far
Mena 1.50"
Booneville 1.36”
Fort Smith 1.12”
Siloam Springs 0.97”
Fayetteville .93”
Springdale 0.75”
Bentonville 0.60”
OKLAHOMA
Talihina 2.26”
Poteau 2.21”
McAlester 1.86”
Westville 1.14”
Wilburton 1.16”
Cookson 1.09”
Sallisaw 0.91”
The heaviest thunderstorm activity right now is along a line which stretches from southeastern OK through Mena, Clarksville, and Harrison, AR. There have been severe thunderstorm warnings in association with this band, prompted by gusty winds along the leading edge. Heavy to moderate rain continues to fall across the River Valley as well as NW AR. We were down about two inches of rain as compared to monthly averages for April. With this event and additional rain tomorrow we may end up close to, or slightly above average for the month.
Posted by Ted Zarras at 6:57 PM
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8:30 P.M. Update
The severe threat continues to wind down across our viewing area. Lingering showers and some embedded storms will be possible through 9 p.m.
Posted by Drew Michaels at 5:27 PM
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6:00 P.M. Update
The line of storms will move across the Oklahoma/Arkansas state line after 6 p.m. Rainfall could amount between .25" to 1.00" across the viewing area. Stay away from windows as the storms move over your town.
Posted by Drew Michaels at 3:31 PM
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3:30 PM SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE
We are tracking individual cells in our western periphery and it is likely that over the next several hours we will have warnings, both tornado and thunderstorm, issued for some of our counties. We will be making all necessary cut-ins as deemed necessary. Right now the heaviest activity stretches from Bartlesville southward through McCalester and points south westward. Please have a severe weather plan ready.
Keep it tuned to 40/29… we’ve got you covered on-air and on the web.
Posted by Ted Zarras at 1:39 PM
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2:45 Weather Update
Expect showers and storms to intensify by 5 p.m. across eastern Oklahoma. Storms will move closer to western Arkansas by 7 p.m. tonight. Large hail and damaging winds remain the primary threats; however, there will be a strong tornado potential across SE OK tonight. EHI values have increased to 3.0, indicating strong low level wind shear.
We'll continue to update you throughout the afternoon.
Posted by Drew Michaels at 12:17 PM
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12:15 PM SEVERE WEATHER UPDATE
We are still anticipating our western area to become active this early afternoon, with south and western counties having the threat of large hail, damaging winds and a few isolated tornadoes. This threat will be moving eastward throughout the day and as early as 6:00PM isolated severe thunderstorms along with line segments of severe storms will likely stretch through Jay, Tahlequah and Muskogee, OK to points southwestward. Benton, Washington, Crawford, Sebastian, Scott, Polk, Leflore and McCurtain counties will likely see the greatest threat of severe thunderstorms after 6:00 PM. Expect activity to be the most intense through the Midnight hour.
Be safe and be smart, which means being prepared! Have a severe weather plan ready. We are continuing to monitor developments. Keep it tuned to 40/29… we’ve got you covered on-air and on the web!
Posted by Ted Zarras at 10:15 AM
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Tuesday's Moderate Severe Weather Risk
Dewpoint temperature, or the measure of low level moisture, will remain in the 60's throughout the warm sector on Tuesday. The air mass will be capable of supporting severe storms, so all of the necessary ingredients per our computer models will come together. Sunshine will be in question tomorrow, but it wouldn't surprise me to see peeks of sun throughout the day. Increased sunshine will only create more of a volatile and unstable atmosphere.
Make sure you have a severe weather plan in place. Please check back during the day on Tuesday for more blog updates..............
Posted by Drew Michaels at 8:18 PM
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MONDAY 1:00 PM SEVERE WEATHER THREAT UPDATE

As of the12Z observations, a broad trough of Low pressure is centered south of the four corners region of the US. Surface low development is occurring in the Albuquerque region of northern New Mexico with surface pressure now down to 1009mb. Air aloft at 700mb (10,000 ft.) is -4c, whereas the 700mb temp in Amarillo is 6c. *NOTE (see map above) Cold air filtering in from the North West, will continue to intensify the Low. This pool of cold air aloft will also destabilize the atmosphere and already, showers and thunderstorms are developing.
The 12Z run of the NAM has slowed down the forward movement of the Low, though the track is still to the east and over our area. The best dynamics appear to be coming together in the 6 PM to Midnight window of Tuesday. We will have a lot of jetstream energy aloft with winds blowing from the West South West as high as 130mph and a low level jet of 50mph blowing from the south. Surface winds look to be blowing from the South South East. This turning of height with the winds will aid in developing forward tilting and rotating thunderstorms, which are also known by the aforementioned name of supercells. The inflow of warm humid air into the thunderstorm rises, cools and condenses; then instead of falling back down into the storm, cutting off the fuel source, it gets blown to the front and back of the storm, allowing the thunderstorm to sustain itself for perhaps as long as a track as 200 miles. These storms will be moving at speeds of up 50mph to the north east. We will have the threat of seeing not only damaging winds and large hail, but tornadoes too. Please review your family’s severe weather plan and know what to do immediately if a Tornado warning is issued for your location.
Lastly, several embedded troughs, cycling around the low will provide the lift to initiate storm development. The dryline, which will be just to the west of OK City by tomorrow afternoon, will likely be a hot spot for storm initiation too. With the slower speed of the parent Low, it is likely that large storms on Tuesday, will transition into a batch of heavy rain with embedded lightning and thunder, lasting into the early morning hours of Wednesday. We’ll then be watching for redevelopment of storms by Wed. afternoon, which may last once again overnight, into the early morning hours of Thursday.
We will be making updates throughout this entire event. Keep it tuned to 40/29, we’ve got you covered on-air and on the web!
Posted by Ted Zarras at 10:30 AM
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Tuesday's Severe Weather Update

Posted by Drew Michaels at 8:23 PM
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SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
The storm system is pulling in a relatively cold air mass aloft and this will make the atmosphere unstable. Daytime heating coupled with a frontal boundary will provide the lift to fire off convection and due to the turning of the windfield with height; it is likely that rotating supercells will develop. Our threat will mainly be for large hail and gusty winds though there is chance of tornados too. The storm system will likely push through early on Wednesday and there afterwards, we should get break for a few days. We’re monitoring developments closely… keep it tuned to 40/29 on-air and on the web, we’ll keep you advised!
Posted by Ted Zarras at 4:03 PM
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SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ERUPT OFF THE DRYLINE

Presently, single cell thunderstorm activity is melding together into a batch of thunderstorms that is linear in nature. Such features are capable of and indicative of damaging winds, especially if the line begins to bow. The tornado threat is lessening, though south of the batch of thunderstorms, there still is the possibility of single cells forming. This cluster is sending clouds as far east as Oklahoma City and precipitation extends to Clinton, OK which is about 85 miles to Ok City’s west. General movement with this storm system is too the North Northeast. We may get a lingering shower or thunderstorm early, though the activity will have significantly lessened at that point. There may be an outflow barrier or two lingering over our north western area that may provide a focus for a few thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon.
Posted by Ted Zarras at 9:45 PM
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Dry Line Storms for Saturday?

Posted by Drew Michaels at 7:58 PM
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NASA, NOAA Data Indicate Ozone Layer is Recovering

The Stratosphere, the Earth’s second lowest atmospheric layer, which lies between10 and 50 kilometers (6 and 31 miles) above the surface, contains 90 percent of all atmospheric ozone. Ozone filters out harmful UV rays from the sun. Ozone declined steadily from 1979 through1997, correlating well with a peak production of ozone-destroying gases such as chlorofluorocarbons or CFC’s. CFC’s were phased out after the 1987 international Montreal Protocol was enacted.
To measure ozone at different layers in the atmosphere Dr. Yang’s team used data from balloons, along with independent ground-based observing networks, as well as monthly averaged satellite data which came from five independent NASA and NOAA instruments. The measurements were compared to computer predictions of ozone recovery that factored in variations in human produced ozone destroying chemicals.
Results of the study confirm that the Stratosphere is no longer being depleted of ozone and that levels could be restored to those of 1980, by sometime in the middle of the century.
Posted by Ted Zarras at 8:19 AM
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A Warm March, A Cool April… So Far
Rainfall-wise, we’ll need a few more decent events to bring us up to par, though we’re not terribly dry right now. By next week, a trough which is now digging out in the Pacific south of the Aleutians is slated to track across the mid-south and central plains. This will likely bring both our next shot of significant rain and potential severe weather to the area.
Posted by Ted Zarras at 11:17 AM
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Scattered, Isolated, or Likely??????
Isolated = Less than a 30% chance for storms to occur in a given a location.
Scattered = 30% to 50% chance for storms to occur in a given location.
Likely = Greater than a 60% chance that storms will occur in a given location.
Posted by Drew Michaels at 8:17 PM
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Gusts to 156 mph!


Posted by Ted Zarras at 8:26 AM
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Tuesday Evening Weather Update
As the low departs to our east on Wednesday, we'll expect subsidence on the back side of the system to create afternoon sunshine. Look for highs in the mid to upper 60s and lower 70s. Warmer temperatures will return toward the end of the week! Enjoy the rain......
Posted by Drew Michaels at 4:38 PM
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More Rain for Tuesday....Hail Producing Storms?

Posted by Drew Michaels at 4:04 PM
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VENUS…Looking Good!

We should have good viewing conditions again tomorrow so here’s where to look. Venus will be about 40 degrees north of the western horizon at sunset and will continually lower in the western sky until it sets around 11:00 PM. On the 19th, this Thursday, a thin crescent moon will add to the beauty of the second planet from the Sun, sitting just a few degrees lower and to the right in the sky.
Posted by Ted Zarras at 8:52 PM
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One more cold night!
We’ve been monitoring a clearing trend which has been slow but steady. Fort Smith and the River Valley saw late day breaks of sun give way to a mostly clear sky, though areas to the north still had the clouds to contend with. A few fast moving showers dropping into our area from Kansas may stick together long enough tonight to bring a little drizzle and or a flurry to northern locations overnight. But, tomorrow afternoon will be feeling a bit more spring-like with ample sunshine and much warmer temps.
Posted by Ted Zarras at 9:04 PM
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Severe Weather Threat is Over
Most of the strong thunderstorms have weakened, but some cells may produce small pea size hail. The heavy rain will transition after midnight to light rain and drizzle. Snow will be a factor if you're heading north along 71 to Kansas City tonight. Extreme northeastern Oklahoma may see some snow mixing with rain by Saturday morning, but no major accumulations are expected across our viewing area.
Posted by Drew Michaels at 8:24 PM
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EVENING SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
An intense line of storms has been racing across Texas and Oklahoma, where breaks of sunshine and very moisture rich air have fueled super cells. Although the motion of the upper level Low continues to be to the east, this line of storms may rotate through our southern area tonight. The main threat will be gusty winds and large hail, though an isolated tornado across extreme southern counties near the OK / TX border can’t be ruled out. Expect the heaviest precipitation to fall through the 10:00 PM to 3:00 AM window.
Posted by Ted Zarras at 4:47 PM
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Severe Storms South...5:00 Update
This evening more scattered showers and storms will some locally heavy rainfall will move north ahead of the upper level storm. Some of the stronger storms may contain small hail, but no major severe weather is anticipated. We'll have more updates to come!
Posted by Drew Michaels at 2:08 PM
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1:45 PM Update

Here are the totals so far.
Fort Smith 0.20”
Fayetteville 0.22”
Poteau 0.38”
Sallisaw 0.59”
Springdale 0.22”
We’ll continue to see bands of moderate to heavy rain push up into our area from the south west, though we are north of the warm front and in a more stable environment. Consequently, we look to remain cool, rainy and overcast throughout the rest of the day.
Posted by Ted Zarras at 11:22 AM
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11:45 AM Update:
As a leading wave of low pressure, cycling around the main area of Low pressure to our west, continues to push through over the next several hours, expect a transition to more of a heavy rain event with embedded lightning and thunder. Temperatures will stay cool today with the threat of severe weather holding to our south.
Posted by Ted Zarras at 9:33 AM
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Close Call for Severe Weather

Posted by Drew Michaels at 2:31 PM
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Winds of Change....Friday's Severe Weather?
This next storm could turn out to be more of a rain maker than a severe weather maker across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas; however, we're keeping our eyes on SE OK and SW AR for a significant severe weather threat. Why will only our southern counties see the chance for significant storms? The answer lies in the position of the warm front.
Typically, a trough will start to lift as it moves east out of the southwest of the U.S., racing a surface low to the northeast. Our area tends to become warm sectored, and if enough instability exists, we'll rapidly develop severe weather. The Friday storm looks different. Instead of lifting, the trough is forecast to dig, creating a surface low that will ride east along the Red River. We're expecting the warm front to set up somewhere across SE OK and SW AR, which is pretty far south.
The warm front is a very interesting place to be during the spring. North of the front will typically experience embedded storms and heavy rainfall; however, along the boundary itself, extreme turning of the winds will occur, creating a favorable environment for tornadoes. Storms that form along the warm front will have the potential to rotate and produce tornadoes. Think of all the winds spiraling into the surface low. It will be a heavily sheared environment.
The key on Friday will be to locate the actual position of the front, and determine just how far north it will go. I have noticed the NAM likes to advect the front too far north, but my gut says the warm front will stay south of the River Valley. Temperatures across NW AR may only be in the 50s on Friday! We'll continue to update you on this developing storm system.
Posted by Drew Michaels at 9:29 PM
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FAIR WEATHER FUNNEL

After a pleasant email exchange and a great description of the event, it was absolutely apparent that indeed something happened around 10:50 am that Saturday morning in Benton county. It was time to do some atmospheric investigating. Satellite imagery confirmed that we just had a few high clouds in place but shape-wise they were indicative of a strong jet stream. Archived upper air maps for Saturday, showed that not only were winds aloft in excess of 100 kts., but due to the positioning of the jet stream, NW AR was in a sweet spot for upper level divergence, inferring rising-motion at the surface.
On Saturday morning we tied records and temps were still in the upper 20s at the time the funnels were observed. With good breaks of sun earlier in the morning it is likely that strong heating of the ground, perhaps over a recently plowed field, set a "blob" of air rising. On a micro scale the atmosphere was very unstable with this warm pocket sitting below and being surrounded by cold air. A little eddy of spinning air, possibly originating from something as simple as a breeze blowing around a barn, hit that rising blob. At this point a process known as vortex stretching took place. As the spin rose and became elongated, due to the conservation of angular momentum, the speed of the funnel increased. As the rising air condensed and perhaps some dust and debris became suspended, it became visible.
Posted by Ted Zarras at 8:09 PM
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How to care for damaged plants and trees
1. Don't prune or cut back the plants or trees. Allow the leaves or buds to fall off naturally. When the warm weather returns, they will likely bloom again.
2. Don't feed the plants with plant food or fertilizer. This will damage the plants. Allow them to naturally return.
Posted by Drew Michaels at 7:17 PM
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TWO TIES TWO RECORDS
Just below this post were the records in jeopardy over the weekend and like the title of this entry states, we tied two and left two in the dust!
Saturday’s Lows: TWO TIES
Fort Smith: 29F
Fayetteville: 24F
Sunday’s Lows: TWO RECORDS !
Fort Smith: 24F
Fayetteville: 17F
The week ahead is looking very spring like with several chances for rain. Tuesday into Wednesday is chance number one. This system does not look to bring in severe weather, though a system late in the week will be coming in with a hefty jet. This is chance number two and the ingredients may come together for a batch of strong thunderstorms. Our long range pattern is looking to become more active too, with perhaps another impressive system for next Monday / Tuesday.
Posted by Ted Zarras at 9:00 PM
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IMPENDING RECORD LOWS!
Fort Smith, AR
April 7, 29F 1990
April 8, 33F 1971
Fayetteville, AR
April 7, 24F 1971
April 8, 27F 1956
We’re likely to bust all four of the above records over the next few days as cold air continues to flow southward. Tonight, there is a freeze warning that goes just about all of the way to the Gulf of Mexico! Sunday will likely be the lower of the next few mornings, with many locations dropping into the teens in NW AR and NE OK.
*March was about ten degrees above average for the month, so we shall see how we end up for the month of April.
Posted by Ted Zarras at 4:02 PM
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Let it Snow, Let it Snow.....

Posted by Drew Michaels at 8:19 PM
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Flurries Return to the Forecast......

Posted by Drew Michaels at 8:04 PM
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Winter like Highs & Lows Return
So, just how cold might we get? Climatological averages for this week are around 71/45 High/Low in Fort Smith and 65/43 in Fayetteville. Over the next several days Fort Smith will be averaging highs in the mid and upper 50s with lows in the mid and lower 30s. Fayetteville’s highs may not break 50 for a few days and lows will likely be dipping below the freezing mark. These numbers are more indicative of early and mid February! Sensitive plants may need to be brought indoors for a few nights.
FYI: Frosts are possible in the River Valley through mid-April and in Fayetteville through mid-May.
Posted by Ted Zarras at 4:19 PM
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Cooler Changes Are Coming........
Let's talk about storm chances for Tuesday. Look for a pretty substantial cap aloft to exist in our atmosphere from all of the warm air advection, with that being said, we'll need a lot of surface heating ahead of the front to lift the air mass. The best chance for this to occur will remain south of I-40. This area will have the greatest potential for maximized surface heating before the frontal passage. If the cap can be broken, look for CAPE values to exceed 2,000, which could result in large hail. Storms won't be sticking around though, so if you're lucky, you could see some brief heavy rain before the front clears your area. Rain chances from north to south are only running around 30%-40%.
Aloft, we'll see a blocking pattern set up toward the end of the week, which will allow an area of low pressure to deepen across the northeast. This dominant low will send reinforcing shots of colder air our way throughout the weekend. More to come on the colder weather!
Posted by Drew Michaels at 8:07 PM
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THE WEEK AHEAD...
On the severe weather note and threat for Tuesday, forecasted cape values are high and dewpoints are better than 60 in the River Valley. The cold front will provide the necessary lift. Timing will be key and just how much sunshine we receive will largely dictate the severity of the storms. Hail, gusty winds will be the primary threat, though an isolated tornado can’t be ruled out. We’ll cool down quite substantially after this, with several days of temps slightly below seasonal averages.
A secondary shot of cold air looks to slide in on northwesterly flow for Thursday. At this point it does not appear to have a great amount of moisture with it, though temps look to flirt around the freezing mark in northern locations come Friday and Saturday morning. Make sure to protect those sensitive plants.
Have a great week!
Posted by Ted Zarras at 9:38 PM
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