A similar southbound moving storm storm system is heading our way for Tuesday afternoon and evening. Right now we're watching this storm move out of the 4-corners region of the southwest. Dewpoints are pretty low today, which helped temperatures warm quickly this afternoon into the 70s; however, moisture will be increasing overnight, as a surface high slides southeast toward the gulf.

Our computer model guidance has our area receiving between 0.25" to 1.0" of rainfall. Some spots could see some locally higher amounts under some of the stronger thunderstorms. The heavy rainfall will likely happen toward sundown on Tuesday evening.

These types of low pressure areas have a lot of cold air aloft, so small hail will be a threat for everybody. I have included a model depiction of the cold air aloft around 10,000 ft, so you can visually understand what I'm referring to.

There is a severe weather threat for extreme southeastern Oklahoma and southwestern Arkansas, but much like last week, most of the severe weather will be contained across Texas. Stay tuned for more updates.