I know, I know, it's hard to believe that we're talking about a chance for flurries after temperatures have been in the 80s. That's almost as realistic as me taking over the U of A basketball program, well, anything is possible.

Here's the setup. We're going into a pattern where our forecast will be dominated by a northwest flow regime. What does that mean from a forecasting perspective? The winds from 5,000 feet all the way up to 30,000 ft will be out of the northwest. I have included a picture to show you what this pattern looks like. We'll see reinforcing shots of cold air coming our way, especially into Friday morning. Several disturbances within the northwest flow could provide the lift for precipitation to develop if the moisture is present.

Moisture at the 700 mb level will be riding along the northwest flow, and according to the oZ WRF model, temperatures aloft would support snow flurries north of I-40. We're expecting surface temperatures in the 30s for Friday morning.

Typically, when we cold air advect, we'll see cold air stratocumulus develop across the area. If a little disturbance aloft can create some precipitation, it will fall as snow flurries if the atmosphere is cold enough. The 0 degree isotherm at 850 mb cuts across northwest Arkansas, so this will be a close one.