The entire eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas area remains under a moderate risk for severe weather for Tuesday evening. Our thinking remains the same. We'll have to wait for a strong 100+ knt jetstreak to move over the central plains by Tuesday afternoon in order for storms to fire. Storm initiation will likely occur along the dryline after 3 p.m. These storms will rapidly develop and move NE over 50 mph. We'll likely see storms after 5 p.m. across our area.

Dewpoint temperature, or the measure of low level moisture, will remain in the 60's throughout the warm sector on Tuesday. The air mass will be capable of supporting severe storms, so all of the necessary ingredients per our computer models will come together. Sunshine will be in question tomorrow, but it wouldn't surprise me to see peeks of sun throughout the day. Increased sunshine will only create more of a volatile and unstable atmosphere.

Make sure you have a severe weather plan in place. Please check back during the day on Tuesday for more blog updates..............