I'm not a big fan of putting a lot of stock into a computer model solution 6 to 7 days out, but I did see something today that has caught my attention. I have noticed over the last month that the upper level storm's are coming close to our area, however, at the last minute they pull north, allowing the severe weather threat to stay just to our north.




The latest run of the GFS is now starting to hint at more of a southerly track. Take a look at the picture above. These are winds around 30,000 ft. You can see the trough that is poised to swing across our area by next Thursday. If this scenario holds true, we could be dealing with severe weather.

You need moisture, lift, and wind shear for severe weather to occur. This scenario could provide the necessary ingredients, but like I said earlier, I'm not ready to buy this stock just yet, so stay tuned!