Saturday, October 13, 2007

ACTIVE WEEK AHEAD


Two systems, perhaps three, look to affect our weather over the week ahead. The first is the trough over the four corners region. The parent Low will drag a front through on Monday. Timing will be integral as to the severity of a batch of likely thunderstorms that will accompany the front. If it moves through on the late side of the day and we see some sunshine prior, then we'll be under the gun for some strong to severe thunderstorms. Shear will be strong with an embedded jetstreak and rotating updrafts may support large hail. Gusty to damaging winds will also be of concern.

The second system, now slated for Wednesday night and into Thursday morning, is now just south of Alaska, out in the Pacific. Plenty of jetstream energy aloft with this system may once again support supercells, yielding the threat of damaging winds and large hail. This second system may also have a few waves move through it. If so, then Friday may possibly bring in another round of showers and storms. Long-range consistency has been iffy so we'll be fine-tuning the forecast as we move closer to the middle of the week.

Posted by Ted Zarras at 11:59 PM

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