The computer models are starting to trend more to a colder solution. Which model do you choose, the NAM or GFS? The GFS is wetter than the NAM, but the NAM nailed the last winter event, so I'll stick with persistence for this next system for Wednesday and Thursday.

Sleet and snow are possible toward Wednesday evening, especially north of I-40. The snow could change over to rain and or freezing rain toward Thursday morning south of I-40 before turning back over to snow/sleet for Thursday afternoon.

The 18Z NAM is slightly colder than it's earlier run from this morning. I have included the chance for some minor snow/sleet accumulations from a dusting to an inch throughout the River Valley at this point. SE OK and SW AR could see some periods of freezing rain with this event, so be advised of some minor icing south of I-40 for Thursday morning. The column of air is forecast to be frozen north of I-40 throughout the event, so 2 to 3 inches of sleet and snow are forecast across a good majority of NE OK and NW AR. There may be a window for slightly higher accumulations in Delaware, Benton, and McDonald counties.

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