Thursday, January 18, 2007
Winter Weather Hype?
I don't know about you, but all I heard today was the amount of snow that's supposed to fall throughout the area this weekend. Yes it's true, the Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Winter Storm Watch, but I have some reservations to the amount of snow that's being forecasted and what will actually accumulate. Sounds like the hype is getting out of control.
I talked about the model differences on our blog entry last night, and most of those still exist today. The GFS continues to be faster with the storm compared to the NAM; however, both the NAM and the GFS continue to warm temperatures aloft in each model run. This tells me that the area has a greater chance to see a mix of rain/sleet/snow throughout the event. Greater chance for a mix, less of a chance for total accumulation.
The National Weather Service and other media outlets in the area are buying into higher totals, and quite frankly, hyping this event. We're not. I have included a preliminary totals map that we'll be updating over the next couple of days. At this point the best spot in our area for accumulating snow will occur across western Benton county and across northeastern Oklahoma. Locations North and west of I-44 will see a good swath possibly over half a foot. Please check back for the latest!
Posted by Drew Michaels at 2:58 PM
10 Comments:
do you have to paint such a dismal picture for the snow lovers? Instead of ice for most of Washington county it was more like 6 inches of rain in our area. Guess it goes to show no one really knows what mother nature is going to do.
It looks like Fay will still likely be mostly all snow with 4-8 inches still highly likely. Ft. Smith will likely see more sleet but the potential still exist for several inches of snow there as well.
All I can say is I hope 40/29 is wrong this time,I want snow and alot of it!!
I dont want any of it, my job requires me to go out and help the people who wreck in this stuff and take them to the hospital
So, how is it that you know more than the National Weather Service? Ouija board?
Is the weather service always right? NO, have you lived her long enough...they get a little winter weather happy.
The National Weather Service has a gigantic " ouija board" takes three people to work the thing!!!
Check out my latest blog for our latest thinking on this winter storm. Everyone else is changing their mind on this event, when they hyped it up earlier, the NWS will be next to downsize the snow/sleet amounts. We have not changed a thing.
Justin Povick
Sunrise Meteorologist
I saw the other stations forecasts, both KNWA and KFSM have stuck with their orignals.... so I'm not real sure what you are talking about ?
My arms are getting tired from doing this snow dance! Come on already!!! Do you have any idea how stupid I look laying in the street making snow angles with no snow? Personally I think its the other stations faults...for all that hot air they are blowing out...its like a mini High pressure area. ;-)
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