Saturday, March 24, 2007
PLIGHT OF A CLOSED-LOW
Six days ago a trough was digging, or amplifying if you wish, off the Pacific Coast. With great consistency over some two days, long-range forecast models had this swinging through our area and giving us copious amounts good ol’ H2o. Did this happen? Well, no, not even close! Just take a look around at the ever pervasive green film that has settled on our cars, roads, driveways and has now even moved into our homes. Pollen is what we got and we certianly could use some rain to help wash it away.
So, what went wrong? A closed-low as we’ve mentioned before is a weatherman’s woe or to be PC a forecaster’s woe! This trough dug a hole in the southwestern United States and said “Hasta la vista baby!” as it broke off from the main flow. There an upper level low sat and did it’s spinning thing for most of the past week, while the Jet stream remained north of us and left us in no rain land. Last night part of this closed low pulled north and dished out some fifteen tornados across eastern New Mexico and western Texas. The other part is still spinning, but now this remaining “piece of energy” looks to be picked up by the southern branch of the Jet stream or the sub tropical Jet and pass through our area late Monday and into Tuesday.
What does this mean for us? Say your prayers and keep your fingers crossed, hopefully we’ll finally get some rain. We’re down by some three inches for the month but for the year we’re still hanging tough thanks to a wet January. In the long range we still are looking at a system to impact us on Wednesday night which will likely carry into Thursday. This could be our next round of severe weather. So, we’ll cling to what rain chances we’ve got and hope for the best.
So, what went wrong? A closed-low as we’ve mentioned before is a weatherman’s woe or to be PC a forecaster’s woe! This trough dug a hole in the southwestern United States and said “Hasta la vista baby!” as it broke off from the main flow. There an upper level low sat and did it’s spinning thing for most of the past week, while the Jet stream remained north of us and left us in no rain land. Last night part of this closed low pulled north and dished out some fifteen tornados across eastern New Mexico and western Texas. The other part is still spinning, but now this remaining “piece of energy” looks to be picked up by the southern branch of the Jet stream or the sub tropical Jet and pass through our area late Monday and into Tuesday.
What does this mean for us? Say your prayers and keep your fingers crossed, hopefully we’ll finally get some rain. We’re down by some three inches for the month but for the year we’re still hanging tough thanks to a wet January. In the long range we still are looking at a system to impact us on Wednesday night which will likely carry into Thursday. This could be our next round of severe weather. So, we’ll cling to what rain chances we’ve got and hope for the best.
Posted by Ted Zarras at 7:06 PM
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