Wednesday, January 23, 2008
Deja Vu? Another Freezing Rain Event
Like clock work, we're looking at another potential for winter weather; unlike Monday, this event looks to kick off the weekend. An arctic front is moving in for tonight: dropping temperatures, and setting the stage for freezing rain on Friday.
Here's the situation. That cold shallow air will hang around through Friday. With an increased cloud cover on Friday, temperatures should remain in the lower 30's; a very similar pattern we saw this past Monday.
A 500 wave of low pressure will create the lift needed for precipitation to develop for Friday afternoon. The lift per the GFS is pretty impressive. Take a look at the wave below.

Temperatures aloft at 850 mb will warm, creating a layer for precipitation to fall as rain. Once that rain falls toward the surface, any object that's at 32 degrees or below will be fair game for freezing rain within the shallow cold layer.

The GFS is more robust with the precipitation compared to the ETA; however, with the given lift created from the 500 mb wave, drizzle could also be a concern, which also has the potential to freeze.

We think the River Valley and south will have the best chance to see the Freezing rain. Temperatures will likely stay in the low 30s for Friday, so if the moisture is present, we're looking at more ice potential. Stay tuned.
Here's the situation. That cold shallow air will hang around through Friday. With an increased cloud cover on Friday, temperatures should remain in the lower 30's; a very similar pattern we saw this past Monday.
A 500 wave of low pressure will create the lift needed for precipitation to develop for Friday afternoon. The lift per the GFS is pretty impressive. Take a look at the wave below.

Temperatures aloft at 850 mb will warm, creating a layer for precipitation to fall as rain. Once that rain falls toward the surface, any object that's at 32 degrees or below will be fair game for freezing rain within the shallow cold layer.

The GFS is more robust with the precipitation compared to the ETA; however, with the given lift created from the 500 mb wave, drizzle could also be a concern, which also has the potential to freeze.

We think the River Valley and south will have the best chance to see the Freezing rain. Temperatures will likely stay in the low 30s for Friday, so if the moisture is present, we're looking at more ice potential. Stay tuned.
Posted by Drew Michaels at 11:24 AM
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