Despite strong wind shear on Saturday, most of the area was spared from nasty severe weather due to the lack of available moisture. Straight line winds did create substantial damage in Spiro, OK, but will we see the same situation for Thursday?

Right now we're watching a trough over the western United States that will deepen and head east across the central plains toward the middle of the week. This current storm system resembles the one we saw over the weekend. Wind shear won't be as pronounced, however, the timing is identical. We'll expect a dry line to fire out to our west on Wednesday, providing us a chance for storms late Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Most of these storms will be elevated, or above the cap as the low level jet strengthens. The storms activity will shift east during the day on Thursday, so rain and storms will be confined to the morning hours.

These storms will have more low level moisture to work with, so the SPC has the entire area in a slight risk for severe weather. Large hail and damaging winds remain the primary threats. The tornado probability is low, especially since the winds from 850mb to 250mb are all out of the southwest.

Elevated storms are known for being hail producers, so we'll continue to update you with the latest information.