Tuesday, August 14, 2007

MODEL CONSENSUS ON "DEAN"

What you see here is a collection or grouping of forecasting model solutions as to the future track of Dean. A tight spread represents model consistency. This infers more confidence in the projected path, though Tropical Storms, almost by nature, have been known to do some fluky things such as; loopty loops, a putting on of the breaks just before landfall only to curve back out to sea and hit hundreds of miles up / down the coast, as well as going from maximum to minimum strength and vice-versa in a seemingly beyond short amount of time!

This latest data suggests a strengthening of winds up to 103 knots (119 mph) in 120 hours time, making it a Category 3 storm!




Posted by Ted Zarras at 4:45 PM

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