A slow moving frontal boundary could provide the focus for showers and storms this afternoon. The best coverage area for storms will remain north of I-40 across NE OK and NW AR in association with the front.

Morning sunshine combined with low level moisture will contribute to CAPE values approaching 3,000 J/KG this afternoon. The Little Rock upper air sounding above indicates a substantial pool of dry air aloft, and that favors strong gusty winds due to evaporational cooling aloft.

Widespread strong to severe storm activity is not expected; however, a few storms may need to be watched, so we'll monitor the afternoon closely.