Wednesday, March 05, 2008
Snowfall Prediction.....
I
f you haven't read Ted's blog entry below, you need to do so. It's very scary to a meteorologist when your two main computer models are in such agreement. Our confidence only gets higher, but it's still Arklahoma, and anything is game.
From where we stand now the main ingredients will come together. This is a dynamically charged system, and the upward motion is impressive. Now that the system is out of the Rockies, the data is more reliable; the snowfall map is based upon the 0Z data.
Here are some thoughts. The deepest moisture looks to be across SE OK and SW AR. Jet dynamics along with the orographic lifting will enhance heavy snowfall. I wouldn't be surprised to see the upper elevations across LeFlore, Polk, Scott, and Yell counties record over a foot of snow.
The biggest question remains the River Valley. All of the data supports heavy snow; however, it seems to be the most challenging area to forecast during the winter, so we were a little hesitant to go for extreme totals.
This is an event to watch and study. It has the potential to drop some major snow in a 24 hour period!
Posted by Drew Michaels at 10:34 PM
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